SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 39.26%. A draw had a probability of 31.7% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 29.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 2-1 (6.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.13%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
39.26% ( -0.86) | 31.73% ( 0.86) | 29.01% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 36.98% ( -1.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.31% ( -2.27) | 70.69% ( 2.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.33% ( -1.46) | 87.67% ( 1.46) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.65% ( -1.79) | 35.35% ( 1.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.89% ( -1.91) | 72.11% ( 1.91) |
| Velez Sarsfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.19% ( -1.35) | 42.81% ( 1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.87% ( -1.17) | 79.13% ( 1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Belgrano | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 1-0 @ 15.73% ( 0.54) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.36)3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.13% Total : 39.25% | 0-0 @ 15.13% ( 1.22) 1-1 @ 13.35% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.27)Other @ 0.31% Total : 31.73% | 0-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.58) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.92% Total : 29% |
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