SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | River Plate |
30.06% ( 0.2) | 26.64% ( 0.16) | 43.3% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 50.49% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.79% ( -0.56) | 54.2% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.39% ( -0.47) | 75.61% ( 0.47) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.17% ( -0.15) | 32.82% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.61% ( -0.16) | 69.39% ( 0.16) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.16% ( -0.43) | 24.83% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.57% ( -0.6) | 59.43% ( 0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Lorenzo | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.06% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.48% Total : 43.29% |
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