SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 72.89%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 10.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.41%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Boavista |
72.89% ( -0.04) | 16.76% ( 0.01) | 10.35% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.34% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.28% ( 0.04) | 39.72% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.93% ( 0.04) | 62.07% ( -0.03) |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.5% ( 0) | 9.5% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.15% | 31.85% ( 0) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.42% ( 0.08) | 46.58% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.83% ( 0.06) | 82.17% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Boavista |
| 2-0 @ 12.25% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.41% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.35% ( 0)4-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.33% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.67% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.04% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 3.69% Total : 72.88% | 1-1 @ 7.96% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 16.76% | 0-1 @ 3.38% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.29% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.73% Total : 10.35% |
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