Though they have been forced to make changes to a title-winning squad, Benfica still look strong enough to retain their status as Portugal's top dogs this year and they should start their Liga campaign with a win. Boavista lack a major goal threat and surely cannot defy their visitors' fearsome front line for a full 90 minutes.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 21.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
-0.79) 
0.84) 
