Neither side has impressed in the final third this season, both averaging around a goal per game, so a single strike could separate them on Tuesday. Despite their injury crisis, Birmingham City can capitalise on fine home form to pick up an overdue victory; consigning Darren Moore to his first loss as Huddersfield manager.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for Huddersfield Town had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Huddersfield Town win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
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