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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
PA

Birmingham
2 - 1
Plymouth

Hogan (8'), Stansfield (90+5')
Sanderson (23'), Buchanan (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hardie (60')
Randell (49')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Plymouth Argyle

Birmingham have started the campaign in promising fashion, but injuries to Dembele and Laird are set to make earning a maximum significantly harder this weekend. Plymouth may be looking to set their sights higher than just Championship safety this term, and we expect the Green Army to return to Devon with a point on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
32.22% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11) 26.75% (-0.012 -0.01) 41.04% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 51.04% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.09% (0.021999999999998 0.02)53.91% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.63% (0.018000000000001 0.02)75.36% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)31.15% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51% (-0.073 -0.07)67.49% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.13% (0.073999999999998 0.07)25.87% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.15% (0.097999999999999 0.1)60.84% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 32.22%
    Plymouth Argyle 41.03%
    Draw 26.74%
Birmingham CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 9.4% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.48% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.88% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 32.22%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 10.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.59% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.37% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.32% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 41.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bristol City 0-2 Birmingham
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Peterborough 3-2 Birmingham
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-3 Birmingham
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Plymouth 1-2 Southampton
Saturday, August 19 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 0-0 Plymouth
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 2-0 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swindon 3-1 Plymouth
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Plymouth 5-1 Forest Green
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1


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