Preston are currently in irrepressible form, and after winning all three league home games this season, we think that they will make full use of home advantage once again to edge out Birmingham in Tuesday's encounter.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.
3.68) 
-0.37) 
