With relegation becoming more of a possibility as the season progresses, Birmingham need a positive result to halt a worrying slide since the loss of Mowbray.
Preston are aiming to string a couple of wins together in order to keep pace with the top six, but we feel that the Lilywhites will have to settle for a point here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Birmingham City in this match.
-0.72) 
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