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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
BL

Millwall
1 - 0
Birmingham

Tanganga (90')
Leonard (64'), Bryan (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Buchanan (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Millwall
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Birmingham City

With both sides painfully aware of how big Saturday's match could be in the fight for survival, we are expecting a hard-fought battle between Millwall and Birmingham. The Lions are enjoying a brilliant run of form under their new management, but we reckon that Blues can earn a point from their trip to the Den. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawBirmingham City
43.96% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 26.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 29.39% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.14% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.5% (0.017000000000003 0.02)54.49% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.14% (0.013999999999999 0.01)75.85% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.36% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.85% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)59.14%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52% (0.022999999999996 0.02)33.47% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.89% (0.024000000000001 0.02)70.1% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 43.96%
    Birmingham City 29.39%
    Draw 26.64%
MillwallDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.86%
2-0 @ 8.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 43.96%
1-1 @ 12.64%
0-0 @ 8.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.64%
0-1 @ 9.02%
1-2 @ 6.92% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 29.39%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Millwall
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Watford
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 1-2 Millwall
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-2 Sheff Weds
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-4 Ipswich
Wednesday, February 14 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-1 Millwall
Sunday, February 11 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Birmingham
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 3-4 Southampton
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 3-1 Birmingham
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Sunderland
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Blackburn
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-0 Birmingham
Friday, February 9 at 8pm in Championship


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