SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 46.6%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Queens Park Rangers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Queens Park Rangers.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Birmingham City |
46.6% ( -0.26) | 25.42% ( 0.03) | 27.97% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 53% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.64% ( 0.02) | 50.36% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.7% ( 0.02) | 72.3% ( -0.02) |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.39% ( -0.11) | 21.61% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.28% ( -0.16) | 54.72% ( 0.16) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.62% ( 0.19) | 32.38% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.1% ( 0.22) | 68.89% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 46.6% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 27.97% |
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