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Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
PN

Birmingham
1 - 2
Preston

Jutkiewicz (83')
Mejbri (32'), Chong (45+1'), Bacuna (79'), Jutkiewicz (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Ledson (10'), Browne (15')
Brady (45')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Preston North End

Birmingham needed that cup win against Forest Green to prevent a full-blown panic from commencing amongst supporters, but they must now back that victory up with a respectable performance and result in the Championship this weekend. Preston will be desperate to put that heavy defeat to Norwich behind them, and with key players returning to the fold for this game they should be good enough for a point at St Andrew's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawPreston North End
37.17% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 28.52% (0.0030000000000001 0) 34.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.17% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)60.21% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)80.4% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.88% (0.0019999999999953 0)31.12% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.56% (0.00099999999999767 0)67.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.03% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)32.97% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)69.55% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 37.17%
    Preston North End 34.3%
    Draw 28.51%
Birmingham CityDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 11.97%
2-1 @ 7.76%
2-0 @ 6.99% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 3.02%
3-0 @ 2.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 37.17%
1-1 @ 13.28%
0-0 @ 10.25%
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.51%
0-1 @ 11.38%
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 6.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 34.3%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol City 4-2 Birmingham
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-3 Middlesbrough
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-1 Hull City
Friday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 3-0 Birmingham
Tuesday, December 27 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 3-2 Reading
Friday, December 16 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 0-4 Norwich
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 3-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, January 7 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Preston
Monday, January 2 at 3.15pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Preston
Thursday, December 29 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 1-2 Huddersfield
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 0-1 QPR
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in Championship


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