SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burnley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burnley.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Burnley |
33.08% ( -0.68) | 27.65% ( 0.01) | 39.27% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 48.53% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.81% ( -0.15) | 57.19% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.95% ( -0.12) | 78.04% ( 0.11) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.76% ( -0.53) | 32.24% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.27% ( -0.6) | 68.73% ( 0.6) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.62% ( 0.31) | 28.38% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.88% ( 0.39) | 64.12% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.07% | 1-1 @ 13.04% 0-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 7.26% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.78% Total : 39.27% |
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