SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 41.82%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
41.82% ( -0.07) | 24.46% ( 0.02) | 33.72% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 59.15% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.38% ( -0.06) | 43.62% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.99% ( -0.06) | 66.01% ( 0.06) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.04% ( -0.06) | 20.96% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.29% ( -0.09) | 53.71% ( 0.1) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.84% ( 0.01) | 25.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.12% ( 0.01) | 59.88% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 41.82% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.72% |
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