SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Blackburn Rovers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Blackburn Rovers.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Luton Town |
46.27% ( 1.04) | 25.68% ( -0.02) | 28.04% ( -1.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.25% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.64% ( -0.47) | 51.36% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.82% ( -0.41) | 73.18% ( 0.41) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.82% ( 0.28) | 22.18% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.42% ( 0.42) | 55.58% ( -0.42) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% ( -1.01) | 32.85% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.58% ( -1.14) | 69.42% ( 1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 46.27% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.05% |
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