SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 71.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 12.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.35%), while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it was 1-2 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 71.16% | 16.38% | 12.45% |
| Both teams to score 57.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.4% | 31.6% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.9% | 53.09% ( -0) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.14% | 7.85% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 72.16% | 27.83% ( -0) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.55% ( -0) | 37.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.77% | 74.23% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 2-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 9.35% 3-0 @ 8.07% 3-1 @ 7.93% 1-0 @ 7.48% 4-0 @ 5.13% 4-1 @ 5.04% 3-2 @ 3.89% 5-0 @ 2.61% 5-1 @ 2.57% 4-2 @ 2.48% 5-2 @ 1.26% 6-0 @ 1.11% 6-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.63% Total : 71.16% | 1-1 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 4.59% 0-0 @ 2.94% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.22% Total : 16.38% | 1-2 @ 3.61% 0-1 @ 2.89% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.5% 0-2 @ 1.42% 1-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.85% Total : 12.45% |
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