SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for Porto had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Porto |
48.08% ( -0.01) | 23.74% ( 0) | 28.18% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.75% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.12% ( -0.01) | 42.88% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.71% ( -0.01) | 65.29% ( 0.02) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82% ( -0.01) | 18% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.13% ( -0.02) | 48.87% ( 0.02) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.64% | 28.36% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.9% ( -0) | 64.1% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Porto |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.29% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 48.08% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.43% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.18% |
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