Porto have won six of their previous eight games against Norwegian sides, but this is an altogether different challenge given the climate and the pitch, and it will take some adjusting to.
The visitors have not kept a clean sheet in 15 Europa League games, and Bodo/Glimt have proven repeatedly they are capable of troubling some elite clubs in Europe, and they may cause a few more issues here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for Porto had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
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