SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 51.32%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
51.32% ( 4.99) | 23.82% ( -1.22) | 24.85% ( -3.77) |
| Both teams to score 55.42% ( 0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.1% ( 2.51) | 45.89% ( -2.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.79% ( 2.33) | 68.2% ( -2.33) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.1% ( 3.02) | 17.9% ( -3.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.3% ( 4.96) | 48.7% ( -4.95) |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.5% ( -1.62) | 32.49% ( 1.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.98% ( -1.85) | 69.02% ( 1.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.39)2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.7)3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.71)3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.81)3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.49)4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.51)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.23)Other @ 3.58% Total : 51.32% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.63) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.64)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.82% | 0-1 @ 6.54% ( -1.05) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.66)0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.79)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.36)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.37)Other @ 2.53% Total : 24.85% |
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