SM
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Hungary | 3 | -5 | 2 |
| 4 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Germany | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 3 | Hungary | 3 | -5 | 2 |
| 4 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 64.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 14.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.24%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 1-0 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bosnia-Herzegovina | Draw | Hungary |
14.38% ( 0.21) | 20.9% ( 0.04) | 64.72% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 47.02% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.85% ( 0.24) | 48.15% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.69% ( 0.22) | 70.3% ( -0.22) |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.75% ( 0.45) | 45.24% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.87% ( 0.36) | 81.13% ( -0.36) |
| Hungary Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.87% ( -0) | 14.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.22% ( -0.01) | 41.78% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina | Draw | Hungary |
| 1-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.3% Total : 14.38% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.73% Total : 20.9% | 0-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 12.24% ( -0.12)1-2 @ 9.71% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 7.99% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 6.33% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 3.91% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.1% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 64.72% |
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