SM
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Germany | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Hungary | 2 | -5 | 1 |
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Germany | 2 | 5 | 4 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Hungary | 2 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 78.59%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 7.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.52%) and 0-1 (10.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 1-0 (2.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bosnia-Herzegovina | Draw | Germany |
7.1% ( -0.49) | 14.31% ( -0.36) | 78.59% ( 0.85) |
| Both teams to score 42.45% ( -1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.56% ( -0.23) | 39.43% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.22% ( -0.24) | 61.78% ( 0.23) |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.2% ( -1.46) | 53.8% ( 1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.85% ( -0.93) | 87.15% ( 0.92) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.88% ( 0.14) | 8.11% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.51% ( 0.35) | 28.49% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina | Draw | Germany |
| 1-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.29% Total : 7.1% | 1-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.51% Total : 14.31% | 0-2 @ 13.76% ( 0.33) 0-3 @ 11.52% ( 0.35)0-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.19)1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 7.24% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 7.15% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 4.49% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 3.64% ( 0.16)1-5 @ 2.25% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.13)0-6 @ 1.52% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.07)1-6 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 78.57% |
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