Germany are yet to win the Nations League - or even progress beyond the group phase - in three previous attempts, but they should be among the favourites to prevail next June. With an abundance of attacking talent available, Julian Nagelsmann's men are set to beat a stubborn Hungary side again on Saturday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 56.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 20.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Hungary win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result
Germany	Draw	Hungary
56.53% ( -0.27)	22.83% ( 0.07)	20.65% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 53.28% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.86% (

-0.03)

46.15% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.56% (

-0.03)

68.45% (

0.04)

Germany Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.89% (

-0.11)

16.12% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.47% (

-0.19)

45.53% (

0.2)

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.52% (

0.18)

36.48% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.73% (

0.18)

73.27% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Germany 56.53%

Hungary 20.65%

Draw 22.82%

Germany	Draw	Hungary
1-0 @ 10.73% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 56.53%	1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.82%	0-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.76% Total : 20.65%