SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cape Verde | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Ghana | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Mozambique | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Cape Verde had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Cape Verde win was 0-1 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Botswana in this match.
| Result | ||
| Botswana | Draw | Cape Verde |
39.09% ( 0.1) | 29.29% ( 0.14) | 31.62% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 43.59% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.85% ( -0.49) | 63.14% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.42% ( -0.36) | 82.57% ( 0.35) |
| Botswana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.57% ( -0.19) | 31.42% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.2% ( -0.22) | 67.8% ( 0.21) |
| Cape Verde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.57% ( -0.44) | 36.43% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.78% ( -0.45) | 73.21% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Botswana | Draw | Cape Verde |
| 1-0 @ 13.25% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.97% Total : 39.09% | 1-1 @ 13.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.28% | 0-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.91% Total : 31.62% |
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