SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 56.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Botswana had a probability of 15.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.29%) and 2-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.13%), while for a Botswana win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| South Africa | Draw | Botswana |
56.95% ( 0.36) | 27.19% ( 0.61) | 15.86% ( -0.97) |
| Both teams to score 34.54% ( -2.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.14% ( -2.73) | 66.87% ( 2.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.83% ( -1.89) | 85.17% ( 1.9) |
| South Africa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.89% ( -1.05) | 24.11% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.59% ( -1.52) | 58.41% ( 1.53) |
| Botswana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 45.52% ( -2.98) | 54.48% ( 2.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.43% ( -1.89) | 87.57% ( 1.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Africa | Draw | Botswana |
| 1-0 @ 18.68% ( 1.26) 2-0 @ 13.29% ( 0.51)2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.41)3-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.32)4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.01% Total : 56.95% | 0-0 @ 13.13% ( 1.26) 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.36)Other @ 0.25% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.39)0-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.02% Total : 15.86% |
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