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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Barnsley |
36.43% ( 0.13) | 25.61% ( 0.03) | 37.95% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.52% ( -0.15) | 48.48% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.39% ( -0.14) | 70.61% ( 0.14) |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.11% ( 0.01) | 25.88% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.13% ( 0.01) | 60.87% ( -0.01) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.96% ( -0.16) | 25.04% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.29% ( -0.22) | 59.71% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford City | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 36.43% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.76% Total : 37.95% |
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