Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
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