Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 46.31%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 27.64% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.02) 
