Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
-0.46) 
0.18) 
