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Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
Jun 21, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Parque
B

Palmeiras
2 - 1
Bragantino

Veiga (21'), Rony (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fernandes (49')
Ramires (38'), Vitinho (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-4 Palmeiras
Tuesday, June 18 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Juventude
Saturday, June 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Palmeiras 2-0 Bragantino

Bragantino will be hopeful that they can take advantage of Palmeiras potentially being distracted by another big-money sale being arranged for a future date, yet we can only see one side winning this contest. A head of steam appears to be building and another victory and clean sheet could be posted here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 51.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 23.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawBragantino
51.52% (-1.204 -1.2) 25.44% (0.343 0.34) 23.04% (0.857 0.86)
Both teams to score 48.49% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.92% (-0.495 -0.49)54.07% (0.491 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.5% (-0.415 -0.41)75.5% (0.411 0.41)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.99% (-0.697 -0.7)21.01% (0.693 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.21% (-1.095 -1.1)53.78% (1.091 1.09)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.39% (0.553 0.55)38.6% (-0.556 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.65% (0.521 0.52)75.35% (-0.526 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 51.52%
    Bragantino 23.04%
    Draw 25.43%
PalmeirasDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 12.65% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.87% (-0.228 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.13% (-0.235 -0.23)
3-1 @ 4.89% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 51.52%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 8.11% (0.155 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 7.72% (0.261 0.26)
1-2 @ 5.73% (0.159 0.16)
0-2 @ 3.67% (0.177 0.18)
1-3 @ 1.82% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 23.04%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-4 Palmeiras
Tuesday, June 18 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-0 Vasco
Friday, June 14 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Criciuma 1-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, June 2 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-0 San Lorenzo
Thursday, May 30 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo SP 0-0 Palmeiras
Thursday, May 23 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Independiente
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Juventude
Saturday, June 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 1-2 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, June 12 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 0-2 Bragantino
Saturday, June 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coquimbo 1-1 Bragantino
Wednesday, May 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bragantino 3-0 Sousa
Tuesday, May 21 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Sportivo 2-3 Bragantino
Friday, May 17 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana


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