Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.01) 
