Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 1-0 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
-0.19) 
0.27) 
