Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 50.23%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 24.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
-0.22) 
0.1) 
