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Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Jun 23, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Nabi Abi Chedid

Bragantino
2 - 1
Vitoria

Ramires (45+3'), Helinho (66')
Helinho (44'), Mendes (80'), Mosquera (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mota (17')
Esteves (32'), Luan (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Bragantino
Friday, June 21 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vitoria 4-2 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Bragantino 2-1 Vitoria

While Bragantino will be looking to return to winning ways, they will need to show their mettle against a Vitoria side who are on the up. However, the hosts boast the firepower needed to get the job done and we predict that they will come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 58.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 18.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bragantino in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bragantino.

Result
BragantinoDrawVitoria
58.03% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 23.86% (-0.012 -0.01) 18.1% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.05% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.33% (0.064 0.06)53.66% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.84% (0.056000000000001 0.06)75.16% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.71% (0.022000000000006 0.02)18.29% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.64% (0.037999999999997 0.04)49.36% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.35% (0.055999999999997 0.06)43.64% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.17% (0.045999999999999 0.05)79.83% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bragantino 58.02%
    Vitoria 18.1%
    Draw 23.86%
BragantinoDrawVitoria
1-0 @ 13.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 6.52% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 58.02%
1-1 @ 11.24%
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.96% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 23.86%
0-1 @ 6.62% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.66% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.74% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 18.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Bragantino
Friday, June 21 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Juventude
Saturday, June 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 1-2 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, June 12 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 0-2 Bragantino
Saturday, June 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coquimbo 1-1 Bragantino
Wednesday, May 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bragantino 3-0 Sousa
Tuesday, May 21 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Vitoria 4-2 Atletico Mineiro
Thursday, June 20 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vitoria 2-1 Internacional
Sunday, June 16 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 1-1 Vitoria
Tuesday, June 11 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 0-0 Vitoria
Thursday, June 6 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vitoria 0-2 Atletico GO
Saturday, June 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vitoria 1-2 Botafogo
Wednesday, May 22 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil


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