Knowing that three points will guarantee European football for next season, Rennes will likely go all out to secure the win on Saturday, but in-form Brest will not go down without a fight.
Given that Brest have won each of their last three matches – and each of their previous five on home soil – we expect the Pirates to frustrate the European chasers.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Brest had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
-1.31) 
0.18) 
