Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 41.85%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.