Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 76.61%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 8.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.41%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.06%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Troyes |
76.61% ( -0.09) | 14.89% ( 0.1) | 8.5% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.49% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.24% ( -0.56) | 36.76% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.07% ( -0.61) | 58.93% ( 0.61) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.07% ( -0.15) | 7.93% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.97% ( -0.38) | 28.03% ( 0.38) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.58% ( -0.41) | 48.42% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.46% ( -0.3) | 83.54% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Troyes |
2-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.55% Total : 76.6% | 1-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.75% Total : 14.89% | 0-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 8.5% |
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