Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 76.61%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 8.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.41%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.06%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
Rennes	Draw	Troyes
76.61% ( -0.09)	14.89% ( 0.1)	8.5% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 47.49% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.24% (

-0.56)

36.76% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.07% (

-0.61)

58.93% (

0.61)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.07% (

-0.15)

7.93% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.97% (

-0.38)

28.03% (

0.38)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.58% (

-0.41)

48.42% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.46% (

-0.3)

83.54% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Rennes 76.6%

Troyes 8.5%

Draw 14.89%

Rennes	Draw	Troyes
2-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) 6-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.55% Total : 76.6%	1-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.75% Total : 14.89%	0-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 8.5%