SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 76.61%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 8.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.41%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.06%), while for a Troyes win it was 0-1 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rennes | Draw | Troyes |
76.61% ( -0.09) | 14.89% ( 0.1) | 8.5% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.49% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.24% ( -0.56) | 36.76% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.07% ( -0.61) | 58.93% ( 0.61) |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.07% ( -0.15) | 7.93% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 71.97% ( -0.38) | 28.03% ( 0.38) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.58% ( -0.41) | 48.42% ( 0.41) |
