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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2022 at 8pm UK
Route de Lorient
BL

Rennes
3 - 1
Brest

Rodon (53'), Terrier (89'), Doue (90+1')
Assignon (61'), Tait (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Honorat (57')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 2-1 Rennes
Saturday, August 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 0-7 Montpellier
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Rennes 2-0 Brest

After suffering a heavy 7-0 defeat at the weekend, Brest will be pushing to do everything possible to return to winning ways, but this could be a difficult task. Rennes are a strong side and that is something that could lead to the picking up all three points in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 72.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Brest had a probability of 9.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.89%) and 3-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
RennesDrawBrest
72.87% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03) 17.28% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 9.85% (0.014100000000001 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.32% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)43.68% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.93% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)66.07% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.46% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)10.54% (0.019 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.75% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)34.25% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.81% (0.0039999999999978 0)50.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.21% (0.0039999999999996 0)84.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Rennes 72.85%
    Brest 9.85%
    Draw 17.28%
RennesDrawBrest
2-0 @ 13.38%
1-0 @ 11.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.04%
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.92% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-0 @ 5.65% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 2.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.75% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 72.85%
1-1 @ 8.2% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 17.28%
0-1 @ 3.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.83% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-2 @ 1.26% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 9.85%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Rennes
Saturday, August 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 2-1 Ajaccio
Sunday, August 21 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 1-1 Rennes
Saturday, August 13 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 0-1 Lorient
Sunday, August 7 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Lille 2-2 Rennes
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 0-7 Montpellier
Sunday, August 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Angers 1-3 Brest
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Marseille
Sunday, August 14 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 3-2 Brest
Sunday, August 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 4-2 Brest
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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