SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 75.11%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 10.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.48%) and 3-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.06%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 1-2 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
75.11% ( -1.17) | 14.25% ( 0.53) | 10.64% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 60.18% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.2% ( -0.72) | 25.79% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.05% ( -0.94) | 45.94% ( 0.94) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.22% ( -0.35) | 5.78% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.74% ( -1) | 22.25% ( 1.01) |
| Derby County Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.87% ( 0.56) | 36.12% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.09% ( 0.56) | 72.91% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.15)1-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 5.85% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.23)3-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.16)5-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.21)4-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.11)6-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.13)4-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.54% Total : 75.11% | 1-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.29% Total : 14.25% | 1-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.8% Total : 10.64% |
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