SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool Under-21s win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.33%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
51.33% ( -0.03) | 20.54% ( 0.03) | 28.13% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 70.64% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.67% ( -0.18) | 27.32% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.1% ( -0.23) | 47.9% ( 0.22) |
| Liverpool Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.72% ( -0.07) | 11.27% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.12% ( -0.16) | 35.88% ( 0.15) |
| Derby County Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.61% ( -0.1) | 20.38% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.2% ( -0.15) | 52.8% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool Under-21s | Draw | Derby County Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.33% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 3.29% Total : 51.33% | 1-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.67% Total : 20.54% | 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.54% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.13% |
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