SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County Under-21s win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.3%) and 3-1 (5.07%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s |
41.43% ( 0.03) | 22.09% ( 0.02) | 36.48% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 68.82% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.71% ( -0.12) | 31.28% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.27% ( -0.14) | 52.72% ( 0.13) |
| Derby County Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.99% ( -0.04) | 16% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.67% ( -0.07) | 45.32% ( 0.06) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% ( -0.08) | 18.06% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.02% ( -0.13) | 48.97% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County Under-21s | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.79% Total : 41.43% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.09% | 1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 36.48% |
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