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BC
Championship | Gameweek 28
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
WL

Bristol City
1 - 1
Watford

Twine (25')
McCrorie (36')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dele-Bashiru (13' pen.)
Asprilla (14'), Andrews (40')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-2 Watford
Sunday, January 14 at 12pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-1 Watford

Bristol City will be full of belief after upsetting West Ham in midweek, but it remains to be seen whether they can build on such a strong performance. With that in mind, do not be surprised to see if Watford manage to earn a share of the spoils, fresh from having a midweek off. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawWatford
36.59% (0.007000000000005 0.01) 26.04% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 37.37% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 54.11% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.67% (0.043999999999997 0.04)50.33% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.73% (0.039999999999999 0.04)72.27% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (0.024999999999991 0.02)26.66% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.09% (0.033999999999999 0.03)61.91% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78% (0.022000000000006 0.02)26.21% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (0.028999999999996 0.03)61.31% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 36.59%
    Watford 37.37%
    Draw 26.04%
Bristol CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 9.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.6% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 36.59%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.28% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 6.26% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 37.37%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 West Ham
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Preston 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Bristol City
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bristol City 0-1 Millwall
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-0 Bristol City
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-4 Bristol City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-2 Watford
Sunday, January 14 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 2-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Watford
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-1 Stoke
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-4 Bristol City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-2 Watford
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship


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