Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 60.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 16.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
