SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 70.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Briton Ferry had a probability of 12.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-3 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Briton Ferry win it was 2-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Briton Ferry | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
12.78% ( 0.57) | 16.95% ( 0.39) | 70.27% ( -0.96) |
| Both teams to score 56.39% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.37% ( -0.4) | 33.62% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.56% ( -0.46) | 55.44% ( 0.46) |
| Briton Ferry Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.66% ( 0.6) | 38.34% ( -0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.9% ( 0.57) | 75.1% ( -0.57) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.45% ( -0.31) | 8.55% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.43% ( -0.76) | 29.57% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Briton Ferry | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 2-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.79% Total : 12.78% | 1-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.95% | 0-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 8.13% ( -0.19)0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 7.79% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 5% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 4.79% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 2.46% ( -0.13)1-5 @ 2.36% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)0-6 @ 1.01% ( -0.07)1-6 @ 0.97% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.14% Total : 70.27% |
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