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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Apr 6, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch

Cardiff MU
0 - 3
Connah's Quay


McCarthy (49'), Evans (77'), Kabongo (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Williams (31'), Davies (45+2'), Wilde (86')
Williams (83')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Caernarfon 1-2 Cardiff MU
Saturday, March 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-0 Newtown
Friday, March 29 at 12.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 65.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 15.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 2-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Cardiff MUDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
15.28% (-0.108 -0.11) 18.88% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 65.85% (0.131 0.13)
Both teams to score 56.18% (-0.183 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.82% (-0.113 -0.11)37.19% (0.113 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.61% (-0.123 -0.12)59.39% (0.121 0.12)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.79% (-0.20500000000001 -0.21)37.21% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.01% (-0.204 -0.2)74% (0.203 0.2)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.46%10.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.75% (0.0020000000000095 0)34.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff MU 15.28%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 65.85%
    Draw 18.88%
Cardiff MUDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
2-1 @ 4.31% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-0 @ 3.88%
2-0 @ 1.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 15.28%
1-1 @ 8.72% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.88%
0-2 @ 9.93% (0.055 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.81%
0-1 @ 8.82% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 7.45% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 7.36%
0-4 @ 4.19% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 4.14%
2-3 @ 3.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.89% (0.011 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.86%
2-5 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 65.85%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-2 Cardiff MU
Saturday, March 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-1 Bala Town
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 2-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 4-0 Cardiff MU
Saturday, March 2 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 2-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, February 24 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, February 10 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-0 Newtown
Friday, March 29 at 12.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Connah's Quay
Friday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 1-5 New Saints
Friday, March 8 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Bala Town 1-0 Connah's Quay
Friday, March 1 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 2-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, February 24 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Newtown 2-3 Connah's Quay
Saturday, February 10 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League


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