SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 65.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 15.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-1 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 2-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
15.28% ( -0.11) | 18.88% ( -0.03) | 65.85% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.18% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.82% ( -0.11) | 37.19% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.61% ( -0.12) | 59.39% ( 0.12) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.79% ( -0.21) | 37.21% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.01% ( -0.2) | 74% ( 0.2) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.46% | 10.54% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.75% ( 0) | 34.25% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 2-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 3.88% 2-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.15% Total : 15.28% | 1-1 @ 8.72% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 18.88% | 0-2 @ 9.93% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 7.45% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 7.36% 0-4 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 4.14% 2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.86% 2-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.79% Total : 65.85% |
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