SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 59.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 1-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Bala Town win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Bala Town |
59.56% ( -0.45) | 20.58% ( 0.19) | 19.86% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 59.7% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.94% ( -0.51) | 37.06% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.75% ( -0.55) | 59.25% ( 0.55) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.83% ( -0.28) | 12.17% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.2% ( -0.6) | 37.79% ( 0.6) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.97% ( -0.05) | 32.03% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.51% ( -0.05) | 68.49% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Bala Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.15% Total : 59.56% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 20.58% | 1-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 19.86% |
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