SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 61.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Flint Town United had a probability of 19.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8%) and 1-3 (7.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Flint Town United win it was 2-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Flint Town United | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
19.02% ( -0.61) | 19.37% ( 0.06) | 61.61% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 62.75% ( -1.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.55% ( -1.32) | 32.44% ( 1.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.92% ( -1.54) | 54.08% ( 1.54) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.9% ( -1.37) | 30.09% ( 1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.76% ( -1.68) | 66.23% ( 1.68) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.76% ( -0.25) | 10.23% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.44% ( -0.58) | 33.55% ( 0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flint Town United | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 2-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.7% Total : 19.02% | 1-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.34% Total : 19.37% | 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 8% ( 0.39)1-3 @ 7.3% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.41)0-3 @ 6.08% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 4.16% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 3.47% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.12)1-5 @ 1.9% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.58% ( 0.03)2-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.07)3-4 @ 1% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.48% Total : 61.61% |
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