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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
43.62% ( -0.09) | 23.97% | 32.41% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 60.44% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.26% ( 0.02) | 41.74% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.86% ( 0.02) | 64.14% ( -0.03) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.62% ( -0.03) | 19.37% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.83% ( -0.05) | 51.17% ( 0.05) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.96% ( 0.06) | 25.04% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.29% ( 0.09) | 59.71% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | Haverfordwest County |
| 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.43% 4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 43.62% | 1-1 @ 11.02% 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 32.41% |
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