Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Bromley had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Bromley win was 1-0 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.