Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 57.1%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-2 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
