Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Chesterfield
33.44% ( -0.03)	25.21%	41.35% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 56.44% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.88% (

-0)

47.12% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.64% (

-0)

69.35% (

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.99% (

-0.02)

27.01% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.64% (

-0.02)

62.36% (

0.02)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.32% (

0.01)

22.68% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.67% (

0.02)

56.33% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 33.44%

Chesterfield 41.35%

Draw 25.2%

Port Vale	Draw	Chesterfield
1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.44%	1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 9.09% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 41.35%