Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 53.83%. A win for Bromley had a probability of 23.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Bromley win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
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