Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 40.1%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Salford City
40.1% ( -3.13)	23.87% ( 0.11)	36.03% ( 3.02)

Both teams to score 61.85% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.67% (

0.19)

40.32% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.3% (

0.2)

62.7% (

-0.2)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.65% (

-1.31)

20.35% (

1.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.25% (

-2.13)

52.74% (

2.12)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.64% (

1.75)

22.35% (

-1.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.16% (

2.55)

55.84% (

-2.56)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 40.1%

Salford City 36.03%

Draw 23.86%

Chesterfield	Draw	Salford City
2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.34) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.55) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.38) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.43) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.23) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.23) Other @ 2.97% Total : 40.1%	1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.86%	1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.42) 0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.46) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.41) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.35) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.22) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.46% Total : 36.03%